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Archive for February 2009

Euro Dollar Consolidates – 27th February 2009

By admin · Comments (1)
Friday, February 27th, 2009
Euro vs Dollar - Daily Candle Chart 27th February 2009

Euro vs Dollar - Daily Candle Chart 27th February 2009

At the moment I feel a little bit like the lollipop lady on the school crossing, waiting for the traffic to stop before I can let you cross the road! – my advice remains the same as for the last few weeks – STAY OUT! The chart above really tells it’s own story and needs little explanation from me, as the long sideways consolidation continues unabated. If, and until, we see a sustained break, above or below, then you cannot trade this pair with any degree of confidence on a daily basis, using a simply buy or sell strategy – you will get cut to ribbons in the daily whipsaw of prices. There are of course ways you can trade, using both options in a straddle strategy, and no touch trades using fixed odds. Both of these are perfectly valid trading strategies and are fully explained on the various sites. Unfortunately many traders ( particularly the smaller retail traders ) only ever use the simply buy and sell approach, and never learn how to use currency options, or fixed odds in order to trade markets that are consolidating, or simply range trading, preferring to use simple buy and sell orders which are then stopped out almost immediately. The euro dollar is a classic example of where the smaller trader will lose and the professional larger traders make money, as they use a much wider variety of trading tools and techniques, and I would urge you to do the same. Buy or sell orders are very simple and we call all execute them with ease, and for much of the time they are a good choice, but they are just that – very simple. To trade in a market as we are seeing at the moment with the euro vs dollar, then your trading toolkit will need to be much more advanced, so please take the time ( while you are waiting to trade ) to learn about other techniques, which may be complex but are well worth the time and effort and will pay dividends ( sorry for the pun) in the longer term as they will open up opportunities in difficult markets and difficult trading conditions as we are seeing at the moment. I have covered the fundamental news for you over on the euro to dollar site.

The short term, medium term and long term outlook is sideways!!

Comments (1)
Categories : Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart
Tags : eur usd trend, eur/usd, euro dollar chart, euro to dollars, Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart, euro vs dollar February, euro vs usd, euros to dollar, fixed odds trade, fixed odds trading, online currency trading, options straddle, options strategy, straddle strategy, trading currency

Euro vs Dollar – Daily Chart February 25th 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Wednesday, February 25th, 2009
Euro Dollar Daily Chart - 25th February 2009

Euro Dollar Daily Chart - 25th February 2009

Trading the euro vs dollar at the moment is a complete lottery. I managed to take some profit yesterday, but only just and I do not propose to trade the pair until the current sideways action and random moves have calmed. As I have mentioned on the fundamentals post this morning on the euro to dollar site, many currencies are moving in an almost random fashion, with no correlation either to each other or to related markets, with statements from Bernanke not helping the situation.

Yesterday’s candle was a wide spread up bar which crossed both the 9 day and 14 day moving averages, and back into the congestion area once again. Whilst this could be considered a bullish engulfing signal, I would suggest you do not trade on this signal and stay out of this pair until further notice. The candle actually hides a multitude of sins with three significant moves, moving up in early trading, then falling back, before moving back up again on the statement from Bernanke last night. So my advice is to stay out and to look for opportunities elsewhere. I am currently trading the dollar yen which is providing a nice rally at the moment after a breakout from consolidation, very similar to the euro dollar – so as always you have to be patient in this game!

The short term and medium term is sideways, the long term outlook is bearish.

Comments (0)
Categories : Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart
Tags : currency trading euro, euro dollar chart, euro dollar February, euro dollar pair, euro to dollars, euro US dollar, Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart, euro vs dollar February, euro vs dollar January, online currency trading, trading currency

Euro Dollar Daily Chart – 24th February 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Tuesday, February 24th, 2009
Euro Dollar - Daily Candle Chart 24th February 2009

Euro Dollar - Daily Candle Chart 24th February 2009

Wow – what a day yesterday on the euro dollar pair! If you made money day trading yesterday, then you did better than I did, although I was fortunate to have some long term short positions which hedged the losses! The price spread was incredible with huge volatility in the market, with a big rise in the morning, followed by a collapse in the afternoon, and I wonder if we are seeing the same thing again today, and as I have said before trading in the euro dollar is becoming a real lottery. This was on a day with virtually no fundamental news whatsoever. The closing price for yesterday was below all three moving averages, having initially penetrated both the 9 and 14 day averages and almost reached the 40 day. This morning we are seeing much the same price action again, with prices moving up fast in the morning, and breaching the 9 and 14 day averages once again. Clearly the breakout of 5 days ago was a false signal and we must now wait for some more signals that this sideways consolidation is exhausted, which is not the case at the moment. My suggestion for today is to stay out, but if you must trade today, I would suggest that opening a short position now at 1.2823 could pay off this afternoon. Make sure you have your stop loss above the high of yesterday.

The short term and medium term outlook is sideways, the long term is bearish.

Comments (0)
Categories : Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart
Tags : currency pairs, currency trading, currency trading euro, euro dollar chart, euro dollar pair, euro to dollars, Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart, euro vs dollar February, online currency trading, trading currency

Euro Forex Daily Chart – 23rd February 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Monday, February 23rd, 2009
EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart - 23rd February 2009

EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart - 23rd February 2009

Well – Friday caught everyone out, including me! Having seen the breakout of Tuesday for the euro vs dollar, this was followed on Wednesday by a spinning top, which suggested a small reversal which indeed happened on Thursday (this was as expected as we saw stopping volume in the markets on Wednesday and with a narrow spread it was almost inevitable that prices would rise on Thursday). What was a complete surprise was the price move on Friday with a wide spread up bar on the day, only with the closing price closing above both the 9 day and 14 day moving averages, and once again back into the congestion area above, making today a very difficult call for trading intra day, and if you want my honest opinion, I would stay out. The reason I say that is simply that on the week we have a hammer, which could suggest the first sign of a reversal, but we will have to wait for this to be confirmed next week, whilst on the daily chart we are moving back into a heavy resistance area at 1.2850 and above. So far this morning we have seen prices rise sharply, only to fall back equally quickly, on virtually no news in Europe to speak of – so the pair are behaving in a very strange and volatile way. I would therefore be very cautious about any intra day trades today, and we wait to see what the daily chart looks like tomorrow.

Comments (0)
Categories : Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart
Tags : euro dollar forex, euro fx, euro traders, euro usd, Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart, spot euro, trading currency

Spot Euro Weekly Update – 23rd February 2009

By admin · Comments (0)
Monday, February 23rd, 2009
Weekly Candle Chart EUR/USD - 23rd February 2009

Weekly Candle Chart EUR/USD - 23rd February 2009

Last week’s candle on the euro dollar pair, has formed a hammer, which suggests that for our longer term trading we could see a rise in prices, but as always we must wait to see if this signal is confirmed by next week’s candle. For those of you new to candlestick analysis, the candle is so called as it is referred to by the Japanese as ‘hammering out a bottom’. In other words this could be the first signal for us as traders that we are looking at a longer term reversal. Whilst prices are below all the moving averages it is too early to say whether this signal is valid, but it has provided an early warning, that perhaps the last few months of the downtrend are about to reverse. It is also interesting to note that the lowest price of the week reinforced the support level in the 1.2500 region once again. As always we cannot trade on one signal, but need to wait for a confirmation based on this weeks price action for our longer term trades, as we may simply be seeing a continuation of the sideways movement of the last few weeks. The fundamental news is covered for you in detail on the euro to dollar site, with very little in the way of news in the Eurozone for today or indeed in the US. If you would like to see a full economic calendar for this week then just follow the link.

Comments (0)
Categories : Euro vs Dollar Weekly Chart
Tags : Add new tag, dollar vs euro, euro dollar forex, euro dollar pair, euro dollars, euro forex, euro to usd, euro trade, online currency trading, trading currency

Best Time For Trading Currency

By admin · Comments (3)
Sunday, February 22nd, 2009

One of the questions I am always asked is which are the best times, and possibly more importantly, the most dangerous times to trade the currency market and Friday afternoon was a classic example for the euro vs dollar.  Earlier in the week the euro had broken through support at 1.2750 with the chart forming a wide spread downbar supported by good volume.   This signal was taken by many that the Euro had finally broken out (including me) and that in the next few days we could see a move down to 1.22 and beyond in the next few weeks.  Thursday’s candle was a doji with stopping volume and this alone should have alerted us that everything was not going to plan. By Friday afternoon when London had closed the price promptly reversed.

Friday afternoon can be a very difficult time to trade and is often when seemingly contrary moves can and do happen.    It will be interesting to see what happens when the market reopens on Sunday evening.

For a free report on the best time for trading currency leave your details in the comment box.

Comments (3)
Categories : Euro vs Dollar Daily Chart
Tags : currency trading euro, eur usd trend, eur/usd, fx trader, fx trading, online currency trading, trading currency
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